The Fake Equation


A few days ago, I was inside of a Wal-Mart (imagine that), and there was a girl who caught my eye. I'm a lonely person, but that's mostly by choice: I don't like people. Still, though, I am a hapless romantic at heart. One of my new favorite films is Buffalo '66. I also liked Garden State [if you are going to flame me, please use my GMail address instead!!!!].

At the same time, I'm a pretty confident person, atleast when it comes to girls, because I don't give a shit really, if nothing else. Normally, then, I don't go obsessing over some chick I barely know anything about. In fact, I don't think that's necessarily what I'm doing now. What I'm doing now is just reflection. I am, on the other hand, a somewhat socially anxious person, in that I almost always go home and consider every line I've uttered that day, in detail (the difference being I always see my conversations with the female sex in a positive light, for whatever reason, as opposed to the horrible torture that is me mulling over my attempts to have an actual friend [because everyone knows you can't be "just friends" with a girl]).

But I see these as missed opportunities. It isn't focused on an individual. In fact, it's shifted since that day to yet another lady I didn't meet. Many, many girls out there accidentally glance my way, smile, and then shyly turn away, and many of them flirt with me, on the rare days that I actually see the light of day, and manage to remind myself what a female looks like with her clothes on. However, one of the reasons I don't like people is because I know very few people who I think of as not being stupid. Since females happen to be a subset of people, depending upon your beliefs, that means females are pretty stupid, too; I'm much more interested in having a partner that might not quite fit in with the rest of the bunch, and the last two candidates I've spoken of to this point, in my mind, seemed to be somewhat interesting to me -- and how many more interesting ladies am I really going to meet, given the likelihood of most of the girls I encounter being stupid (and to disregard, here, the fact that I'm too lazy to go out so as to increase the chance I'll find more who aren't)?

I see it, then, as just another day wasted, in what's going to amount to my pathetically short and boring life. If you're stupid: I've seen the goal posts, but I didn't go in......
So, in the interest of feeding my appetite of romanticism for the day, I've decided to take action. I don't intend on doing something as extreme as what this guy did, but I do intend on doing some serious math. And math is serious.

To be honest, I don't know the first thing about mathematics, but I do know how to be a passionate, devoted, hard-working individual, and, if you don't like it, you can go to hell. I've managed to come up with an equation to calculate my chances of meeting this chick once again:

Cm = Pt / Nw * Pr * Pg * Pf * Pd * Ht * (Ss/St) * Pva

Pt: Number of total people in my city of residence
Nw: Number of Wal-Marts
Pr: Percentage of population in permanent residence (alternatively percent chance of the girl being a resident)
Pg: Percentage of 15-25 female demographic
Pf: Percentage of young females who have families they go shopping with
Pd: Percentage of people who visit Wal-Mart daily
Ht: Average number of hours these people spend in a Wal-Mart each day (some go more than once)
St: Size of Wal-Mart, total, in square feet
Ss: Size of the spot where the chick was found sitting
Pva: Number of days (out of any arbitrary time frame) I will visit Wal-Mart for the average amount of time

Cm: chance of meeting chick (alternatively Cogl, with a term that describes in joules my ability to charm females, which is like 200 trillion)

Here are the numbers I have plugged in to the equation:

Cm = 100,000 / 2 * .98 * .30 * 1.00 * .75 * .08 * (5.0 / 300,000) * 1.00
= 0.0147
= 1.47%

If you disagree, you're stupid, and you probably don't believe in aliens either.


forum posts
Re: The Fake Equation


I've considered that the "Pf" term is probably completely irrelevant, or needs to be done differently. The original intent was to mitigate devaluation of the final result because I only took into account individual girls who may otherwise have gone to Wal-Mart with their families, but I completely butchered it in the equation.

There's something else I'm forgetting, too.. mostly because right now I'm working on getting this ancient backend fixed; it took me about ten re-posts to get that shit to display properly. The backend on this site is almost three years old, and a lot of that was recycled from brandan's old code (although mostly rewritten). I've learned a lot since then, and the framework I used for other projects, which is based off of this one, is so much better. It almost needs a complete rewrite.


Re: The Fake Equation


The Ht term should actually be expressed as a percentage of a 24-hour day (and it is, in my numbers). Also, I was evidently way off on my female demographic, but I wasn't trying too hard.

Melissa Data says roughly 8% if you take the 15-29 year old set.